Bitcoin (BTC) NewsSantiment Says Smart Money Is Buying Bitcoin. The 10-Year Yield Says Not...

Santiment Says Smart Money Is Buying Bitcoin. The 10-Year Yield Says Not So Fast

Santiment metrics indicate that Bitcoin (BTC) wallets holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC have accumulated 113,950 BTC since July 15.

These acquisitions increased the combined holdings of this group by 2.22%, bringing their total to approximately 5.24 million BTC. Santiment published these findings as the cryptocurrency’s price dipped beneath $84,000 on Wednesday.

A 5-Year Track Record Behind the Bitcoin Smart Money Signal

Why is this accumulation significant? Santiment identifies this specific cohort as one of the “most useful smart money groups to watch.” A five-year study conducted by the platform revealed that these wallets have closely mirrored the overall direction of the crypto market.

Historically, this demographic frequently establishes positions ahead of or during major upward price movements for Bitcoin.

The latest market wave aligns with this pattern. The group continued gathering coins as Bitcoin rose starting in mid-August. Santiment points out that this behavior implies the rally gained backing from both wealthy holders and retail participants.

“Sustained buying from the 100-1,000 BTC group has historically been valuable alpha, especially when paired with retail fear, sentiment, and exchange-flow data,” the post read.

Treasury Yields Drag Bitcoin Under a Key Level

This accumulation period coincides with a volatile span for Bitcoin, which has experienced rapid fluctuations between significant gains and losses since Monday. On September 21, Bitcoin surpassed $84,000 for the initial time since January 31.

Data from CoinGlass shows that this breakthrough wiped out $262.30 million worth of short positions in just one hour. Furthermore, the event followed Bitcoin achieving its first weekly close above its 50-week moving average in 45 weeks.

Nonetheless, macroeconomic headwinds challenged the rally on Wednesday. A stronger-than-expected US PMI report drove the 10-year Treasury yield past 5%, reigniting concerns regarding a potential Federal Reserve interest rate hike.

Consequently, Bitcoin dropped below $84,000—a threshold that also appears significant within on-chain data provided by Glassnode.

Glassnode Draws the Line at $84,000

Glassnode highlights that the largest accumulation of long-term holder supply rests between $84,000 and $85,000. Bitcoin briefly fell to roughly $83,500 on Wednesday before finishing the day near $84,400 on Binance.

On Thursday, the asset retreated to approximately $83,800, resting just beneath the floor of that zone. Because the daily session remains ongoing, this threshold has not yet formed a definitive break.

Glassnode points to the $95,000 to $97,000 range as the next major hurdle for Bitcoin. Within that bracket lies the mean Market Value-to-Realized Value (MVRV) price of $96,700.

“The next test is $95K-$97K, where options positioning and the mean MVRV price meet,” the firm said.

The analytics provider noted that maintaining a position above $84,000 keeps that upward trajectory viable. Conversely, a fall below that level would reintroduce the $77,000 True Market Mean into focus.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What amount of Bitcoin have wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC acquired?

These wallets have added 113,950 BTC since July 15, according to data from Santiment.

Why is this specific wallet cohort considered important?

Santiment’s five-year study shows that wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC have historically tracked the direction of the crypto market closely, building positions ahead of or during major price rallies.

What macroeconomic factor caused Bitcoin to drop below $84,000?

A hot US PMI report pushed the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, reviving fears of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike and creating macro headwinds for Bitcoin.

What are the key price levels to watch for Bitcoin next, according to Glassnode?

Glassnode identifies $95,000 to $97,000 as the next major test area, while $84,000 acts as a critical support level. A breakdown below $84,000 could target the $77,000 True Market Mean.

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