XRP is approaching a critical test. After another week of heavy selling, the altcoin is trading near $1.08, with technical indicators showing extreme weakness. Yet four years of historical data suggest the next 90 days could offer an opportunity for recovery.
Analysts at Bitrue Research examined what happened whenever XRP became deeply oversold. The findings reveal an encouraging pattern, although the road to recovery has often been painful.
3 Years of Historical Data Shows a Clear Trend for XRP
Since January 2023, XRP’s daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 35 on 18 separate occasions. This indicator measures the strength of recent price movements, with readings below 30 generally signalling unusually heavy selling.
Of the 17 historical signals with complete 90-day data:
- 12 ended in gains, a 70.6% success rate.
- The median return was +9.1%, compared with +3% across all trading days.
- The median deepest decline during those 90 days was 21.8%.
Shorter periods were less convincing. XRP recovered within 30 days in 11 of 18 cases, while the 60-day success rate was just 50%.
The broader market mattered. Four of the five unsuccessful 90-day recoveries occurred during the prolonged downturn between October 2025 and January 2026.
What XRP Traders Should Watch Over the Next 90 Days
The latest technical data strengthens the case for caution. XRP’s daily RSI fell to 26.64 on November 9, while its price remains below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
Meanwhile, US spot XRP ETFs recorded approximately $10.4 million in outflows on November 9.
Buying pressure also remains weak. The latest 20-day volume ratio stood at 0.45, meaning falling sessions attracted more than twice the volume of rising sessions.
Three price levels now deserve attention:
- Below $1.036: Further declines toward $1 and potentially $0.93 become more likely.
- Above $1.18: A sustained breakout with stronger buying volume would suggest recovery is gaining strength.
- $1.32–1.48: The next major resistance zone if buyers regain control.
Bitrue analysts caution, “Oversold readings show that selling has been intense, not that it has ended.”
For XRP traders, the historical recovery window is now worth watching closely. A lasting recovery will depend on buyers returning and the broader market stabilising.
